Win
will come strictly along party lines
Princeton
– Now more than ever, polarization along party lines is the key factor that will determine
the outcome of the presidential election.
The
electoral votes in battleground states and ultimate victory on Nov. 6
will go to the side that gets out the vote. The latest numbers show
there is little indication that voters are prepared to vote for the
man, not the party.
An
approval rating of 91% given President G.W. Bush among GOP voters
during the entire year before the election of 2004 still stands as
the record.
But
Gallup Poll shows the approval rating for President Obama is the most
polarized ever tabulated by that organization during the final month
before the election.
Some
90% of Democrats polled gave the President the nod during the final
month before the 2012 election, which tops the 85% approval
Republicans gave President G.W. Bush the month prior to the election
of 2004, while only 8% of Republicans approved of the job the
president is doing.
"That underscores the importance of turnout by the party groups in the Nov.
6 election, given that views of the president are largely fixed.
Another key in determining Obama's electoral fate may be which side
of the 50% approval mark independent voters wind up on; they have
been very near 50% approval in recent weeks,” said the Gallup
pollsters, who have been tracking the factor of presidential approval
since 1953.
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